Sunday, October 26, 2014

A Little Strong But Good

    To quote the late, great George Costanza (he died when Jason Alexander got that hair weave), "We're back, baby!" After that hard to swallow 4-8-1 we went 9-4 last week...I think it was the mango...and we're back with these for your perusal...

SIDES (18-15): Pittsburgh +3.5; Buffalo +3.0; Oakland +6.5; Cincinnati +2.5; Philadelphia +1.0

TOTALS (30-18-2): Min./T.B. Over 43.0; Mia./Jac. Over 42.5; St.L./K.C. Under 44.0; Sea./Car. Under 45.0; Oak./Cle. Under 44.0

For what they're worth...

Sunday, October 19, 2014

Another Day, No More Dollars

    Losing out on one winner due to a Pick 6 in the last 20 seconds (Den./NYJ) is heartbreaking. Losing out on 3 winners because of a second Pick 6 in the final 20 seconds is kinda like being in prison in New Hampshire and having to stamp out "Live Free Or Die" on license plates all day...It's cruel and unusual. We went from 7-6 or 6-6-1 to 4-8-1 sadly.

    The system we used is Value-based which is why we are often contrarian to public handicappers. This week there are quite a few contrarian plays, but we are concerned the method may be understating the ineffectiveness of QBs Teddy Bridgewater and Charlie Whitehurst (oh, it thinks they're bad, but maybe unable to fathom just how bad). To date we are 39-29-1 overall. Let's see how today plays out before we start tweaking the parts. Here they are...

SIDES (15-13): Oakland +3.5; Minnesota +6.5; Tennessee +6.0; Cincinnati +3.5; Miami +3.0

TOTALS (24-16-1): Ten./Was. Under 46.5; N.O./Det. Over 46.5; Mia./Chi. Under 48.0; Atl./Bal. Under 50.0; Cle./Jac. Over 44.5; Cin./Ind. Under 50.5; Min./Buf. Over 43.5; NYG/Dal. Over 47.0

Do as you wish with these...

Sunday, October 12, 2014

Notes While Having Tea With The Tillerman (NFL-Week 6)

**UPDATE: We forgot to list one final play...Washington +5.0. Apologies...

You don't wanna hear my usual crap...so on to the picks...

SIDES (13-9): Tampa Bay +3.5; Pittsburgh +2.0; Oakland +7.0; Tennessee -4.0; New England -1.0

TOTALS (22-12-1): Det./Min. Over 43.0; Den./NYJ Under 48.0; Jac./Ten. Over 42.0; Was./Ari. Under 47.0; NYG/Phi. Under 50.0; Bal./T.B. Under 44.0; Chi./Atl. Under 55.5

That's it. Lots of Unders so get that clock windmill-ing arm ready! Luck...

Sunday, October 5, 2014

With The Neck Of A Snapping Turtle (NFL-Week 5)

First off to the bus I'm behind each day during my morning commute...could you put a little jog on it Zach and Giana when you're getting aboard. Oh, and also how 'bout taking the first seat available instead of moseying all the way to the back...It's like Rosa Parks went to jail for nothing.

Yes, there's also this...

SIDES (8-8): Houston +5.5; New England +3.0; San Francisco -4.5; Philadelphia -4.5; Tampa Bay +10.0; N.Y. Jets +6.5

TOTAL: (16-9-1): Atl/NYG Under 51.0; Buf./Det. Over 43.5; Cin./N.E. Over 45.5; St.L./Phi. Under 48.0; Bal./Ind. Under 49.0; Hou./Dal. Over 47.5; NYJ/S.D. Under 44.0

A mix of the contrarian and others...Good luck!